Bruce Bartholow Duncan

Research interests

Publications

• IDF Diabetes Atlas 11th edition 2025: global prevalence and projections for 2050

  Nephrology Dialysis Transplantation · 2025 · 10.1093/ndt/gfaf177

• 11th edition of the IDF Diabetes Atlas: global, regional, and national diabetes prevalence estimates for 2024 and projections for 2050

  The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology · 2025 · 10.1016/s2213-8587(25)00299-2

• Estimates, trends, and drivers of the global burden of type 2 diabetes attributable to PM2·5 air pollution, 1990–2019: an analysis of data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

  The Lancet Planetary Health · 2022 · https://doi.org/10.1016/s2542-5196(22)00122-x

• Estimated Global Proportions of Individuals With Persistent Fatigue, Cognitive, and Respiratory Symptom Clusters Following Symptomatic COVID-19 in 2020 and 2021

  JAMA · 2022 · https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2022.18931

• Diabetes mortality and trends before 25 years of age: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

  Archive ouverte UNIGE (University of Geneva) · 2022

• IDF Diabetes Atlas: Global, regional and country-level diabetes prevalence estimates for 2021 and projections for 2045

  Diabetes Research and Clinical Practice · 2021 · https://doi.org/10.1016/j.diabres.2021.109119

• Hearing loss prevalence and years lived with disability, 1990–2019: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

  The Lancet · 2021 · https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(21)00516-x

• Global, regional, and national burden of chronic kidney disease, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

  The Lancet · 2020 · https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30045-3

• The global, regional, and national burden of cirrhosis by cause in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

  ˜The œLancet. Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2020 · https://doi.org/10.1016/s2468-1253(19)30349-8

• Burden of disease in Brazil, 1990–2016: a systematic subnational analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

  The Lancet · 2018 · 10.1016/s0140-6736(18)31221-2

• Infection-related microcephaly after the 2015 and 2016 Zika virus outbreaks in Brazil: a surveillance-based analysis

  The Lancet · 2017 · 10.1016/s0140-6736(17)31368-5

• The BROAD study: A randomised controlled trial using a whole food plant-based diet in the community for obesity, ischaemic heart disease or diabetes

  Nutrition and Diabetes · 2017 · 10.1038/nutd.2017.3

• Cardiovascular Health in Brazil

  Circulation · 2016 · https://doi.org/10.1161/circulationaha.114.008727

• Prevalence, Awareness, Treatment and Influence of Socioeconomic Variables on Control of High Blood Pressure: Results of the ELSA-Brasil Study

  PLoS ONE · 2015 · https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0127382

• Chronic kidney disease among adult participants of the ELSA-Brasil cohort: association with race and socioeconomic position

  Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health · 2015 · https://doi.org/10.1136/jech-2015-205834

• High prevalence of diabetes and intermediate hyperglycemia – The Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil)

  Diabetology & Metabolic Syndrome · 2014 · https://doi.org/10.1186/1758-5996-6-123

• Cohort Profile: Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil)

  International Journal of Epidemiology · 2014 · 10.1093/ije/dyu027

• Doenças Crônicas Não Transmissíveis no Brasil: prioridade para enfrentamento e investigação

  Portuguese National Funding Agency for Science, Research and Technology (RCAAP Project by FCT) · 2012

• Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil): Objectives and Design

  American Journal of Epidemiology · 2012 · https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwr294

• Gestational diabetes and pregnancy outcomes - a systematic review of the World Health Organization (WHO) and the International Association of Diabetes in Pregnancy Study Groups (IADPSG) diagnostic criteria

  BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth · 2012 · 10.1186/1471-2393-12-23

• Novel Loci for Adiponectin Levels and Their Influence on Type 2 Diabetes and Metabolic Traits: A Multi-Ethnic Meta-Analysis of 45,891 Individuals

  PLoS Genetics · 2012 · 10.1371/journal.pgen.1002607

• Chronic non-communicable diseases in Brazil: burden and current challenges

  The Lancet · 2011 · https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(11)60135-9

• IV Diretriz Brasileira sobre Dislipidemias e Prevenção da Aterosclerose: Departamento de Aterosclerose da Sociedade Brasileira de Cardiologia

  Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia · 2007 · 10.1590/s0066-782x2007000700002

• Identifying Individuals at High Risk for Diabetes

  Diabetes Care · 2005 · 10.2337/diacare.28.8.2013

• Associations between the Metabolic Syndrome and Retinal Microvascular Signs: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

  Investigative Ophthalmology & Visual Science · 2004 · 10.1167/iovs.04-0069

• Adiponectin and the Development of Type 2 Diabetes

  Diabetes · 2004 · 10.2337/diabetes.53.9.2473

• Retinal Arteriolar Diameter and Risk for Hypertension

  Annals of Internal Medicine · 2004 · 10.7326/0003-4819-140-4-200402170-00006

• Low-Grade Systemic Inflammation and the Development of Type 2 Diabetes

  Diabetes · 2003 · 10.2337/diabetes.52.7.1799

• Retinal Arteriolar Narrowing and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease in Men and Women

  JAMA · 2002 · 10.1001/jama.287.9.1153

• Gestational Diabetes Mellitus Diagnosed With a 2-h 75-g Oral Glucose Tolerance Test and Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes

  Diabetes Care · 2001 · 10.2337/diacare.24.7.1151

• Markers of inflammation and prediction of diabetes mellitus in adults (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study): a cohort study

  The Lancet · 1999 · 10.1016/s0140-6736(99)01046-6

Current projects

No projects listed.