Detlef P. van Vuuren

Research interests

Publications

• IPCC, 2023: Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland.

  Journal · 2023 · https://doi.org/10.59327/ipcc/ar6-9789291691647

• Safe and just Earth system boundaries

  Nature · 2023 · https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06083-8

• IPCC, 2023: Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report, Summary for Policymakers. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland.

  Journal · 2023 · https://doi.org/10.59327/ipcc/ar6-9789291691647.001

• Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6

  Earth System Dynamics · 2021 · https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-253-2021

• Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

  Nature · 2020 · 10.1038/s41586-020-2705-y

• Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050

  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2020 · 10.1073/pnas.1900577117

• Harmonization of global land use change and management for the period 850–2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6

  Geoscientific model development · 2020 · https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-5425-2020

• Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the century

  Geoscientific model development · 2019 · 10.5194/gmd-12-1443-2019

• Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C

  Nature Climate Change · 2018 · 10.1038/s41558-018-0091-3

• Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm

  Global Environmental Change · 2016 · 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.008

• The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview

  Global Environmental Change · 2016 · https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009

• The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6

  Geoscientific model development · 2016 · https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016

• Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways

  Global Environmental Change · 2016 · 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.002

• Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions

  Nature Climate Change · 2015 · 10.1038/nclimate2870

• The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century

  Global Environmental Change · 2015 · 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004

• Global drivers of future river flood risk

  Nature Climate Change · 2015 · 10.1038/nclimate2893

• Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets

  Nature Geoscience · 2014 · 10.1038/ngeo2248

• A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways

  Climatic Change · 2013 · 10.1007/s10584-013-0905-2

• Exploring global changes in nitrogen and phosphorus cycles in agriculture induced by livestock production over the 1900–2050 period

  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2011 · 10.1073/pnas.1012878108

• The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300

  Climatic Change · 2011 · https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z

• The representative concentration pathways: an overview

  Climatic Change · 2011 · https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z

• Harmonization of land-use scenarios for the period 1500–2100: 600 years of global gridded annual land-use transitions, wood harvest, and resulting secondary lands

  Climatic Change · 2011 · 10.1007/s10584-011-0153-2

• Evolution of anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of air pollutants at global and regional scales during the 1980–2010 period

  Climatic Change · 2011 · 10.1007/s10584-011-0154-1

• Historical (1850–2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: methodology and application

  Atmospheric chemistry and physics · 2010 · 10.5194/acp-10-7017-2010

• The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment

  Nature · 2010 · https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08823

• Indicators for energy security

  Energy Policy · 2009 · 10.1016/j.enpol.2009.02.006

• Modeling global residential sector energy demand for heating and air conditioning in the context of climate change

  Energy Policy · 2008 · 10.1016/j.enpol.2008.09.051

Current projects

No projects listed.